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#1 Re: Southern Miss » Marshall @ USM: the numbers » 2018-11-05 09:45:25
What's crazy is that UAB is 8-1 with a blowout loss to Coastal Carolina. Bet they'd like a Mulligan on that one.
Sounds similar to our 2011 team that was 9-1 with only a loss to a mediocre Marshall team.
Then, they played an overmatched UAB team in an empty stadium.
#2 Re: Southern Miss » Eagles #7 in the nation. » 2018-05-08 22:26:03
Coastal Carolina from the Big South went 40-15 during the 2016 regular season (losing to Ohio St and Ole Miss) before winning the regional in Raleigh and the Super in Baton Rouge......ended up winning it all
Fresno St went 32-27 in the 2008 regular season, had to win the WAC to make a regional, and won it all in Omaha........
If they can win it, this team is equally qualified to win it all.
Fresno not a great example.
3 of their 4 starting pitchers made the majors and the other made AA. 2 in their lineup made the majors and another two made AAA.
I get your point. But Fresno was definitely not a “little engine that could.”
And that Coastal team could bash the baseball.
#3 Re: Southern Miss » Updated Regional Projections » 2018-04-27 09:13:04
stinkfist wrote:muh nate
muh polls
muhhh zero
it's a pretty simple equation relative to weighting.....
it's all about rpi.....muh polls only yield extra relish with that sauce............winning always solves the problem....
RPI is a very simple formula. If you're OK with sports being controlled by spreadsheets, and simple ones at that, keep slapping down anyone who talks about anything other than RPI.
I remember Larry Eustachy doing that once, and we all liked it. It's a legitimate thing.
Larry had a lot more ammunition on his belt than the people claiming USM is the thirtieth best college baseball team in the country, though. A team USM took a series from on the road, with a 15 run differential, is 16 spots ahead of USM in RPI. So FAU is going to host a regional? Does that mean they beat us in the conference tournament?
I'm not buying it. I'm the opposite of a homer when it comes to USM sports... but "muh RPI."
I'd prefer college baseball be controlled by spreadsheet than by subjective opinion of athletics administrators who watch no college baseball outside of maybe their own team playing 20 times per season.
There are too many teams and too many games for any person to truly know enough to have a valid subjective opinion. Hell, you can read Kendall Rogers and Aaron Fitt (probably the two biggest "college baseball experts") and you can tell they are just basing half their content on box scores and season statistics for teams.
#4 Re: Southern Miss » USM vs. Ole Miss baseball » 2018-04-13 17:04:07
eaglenjxn wrote:stinkfist wrote:you have to believe he's not DH'g Wallner in an attempt protect his draft status as an outfielder.....
however, I would suggest he take a look at what Ohtani is doing over at the Angels....he could easily do something similar here....
I would say it's a given he gets drafted by an AL team for his stroke and not his fielding ability or pitching....
any way you cut it, we need another horse in the stable on the mound......there's no way we win the cusa tourney with this pitching situation....it's plausible we don't make a regional at this pace.....losing midweek games and 2/3 conference isn't going to cut it.....
you just gotta start tossing Wallner as your closer or as a starter.....all I currently see is his talent being wasted by not being on the mound....
put Franklin in CF and let his speedy arse lead off....his OBP (which is comparable to many in the current order and can only improve if you bunt him or get him looking at pitches to get to first).....his slugging percentage is shit so anywhere else in the order is just silly....you either put him in the 1 or don't play him....
get that guy to first and he would steal 8 of every 10....plus it also brings the hit and run for Monte into play more often than the Monte/Guidry scenario at 1/2......put Guidry at the 6 and do whatever with the 7/8.....
there are so many things you can do with the batting order......but until we get a solid closer, it won't mean dick in the close games
I've been lobbying for Wallner to become the closer for some time now.....if it hasn't happened by now, best guess is it's not going to......that pretty much means we're fucked long term....
I don't like a guy coming from the field to the mound.....never have, never will.....it's just too much to ask from someone to handle in the flow of the game....
/rant
I still don’t know what you’re getting at with Franklin. I’m not sure why his problems are not an issue at lead off or how he’s more beneficial there. Because he’s fast like a traditional leadoff? You’re ensuring that your worst hitter and OBP guy has the most at-bats and there’s less of a chance that Reynolds and Wallner come up with runners on.
I agree on Wallner. And honestly, I probably would have made him a pitcher—or at least given him more work developing there. As is, I don’t think he’s a reliable closer. He throws. He doesn’t pitch. If teams have seen that kind of velocity and adjust, it doesn’t have much movement. That’s why Rice tagged him. That said, he’s still better than most of our other options but the OF to pitcher shift doesn’t work. The big thing is that Berry has no interest in using him in anything outside of exclusively traditional save situations, which doesn’t happen a ton.
the thing with Franklin is his slugging percentage is junk but his OBP is NOT the worst on the team.....I only see it improving in the 1 spot by bunting and getting him to look at more pitches for walks.....anywhere else in the order just doesn't make sense....it also opens up the hit and run opportunity when he gets on base to minimize the DP....his OBP isn't much different than Monte's to view from that perspective....we're talking the difference between 35% and 40%....
here's the BA/OBP/SP for the handful in that range....
Casey Maack Southern Miss 2B .222 .327 .333
LeeMarcus Boyd Southern Miss SS .270 .344 .426
Fred Franklin Southern Miss CF .244 .347 .244
Daniel Keating Southern Miss DH .269 .356 .410
Cole Donaldson Southern Miss C .275 .358 .350
Mason Irby Southern Miss RF .210 .368 .272
Jaylon Keys Southern Miss CF .265 .375 .353
Bryant Bowen Southern Miss C .250 .375 .365
Gabe Montenegro Southern Miss LF .308 .397 .394I put Monte at the 2 all day long.....that's where I wanted him weeks ago....again, at least he moved him out of the 8 which was a gimme....also, Monte has all of 1 stolen base.....that's ridiculous from the 1 spot....
I simply think you go with that, the current 3/4/5 with Guidry in the 6, whomever in the 7/8, and Lebo in the 9.....
you can DH whoever, but it should be Wallner and him on the mound as our Tues starter or closer......and you're right, our close opportunities may be few, but our blown saves by not having a solid 8/9 inning guy has contributed to that as well....
hell, if we can take the starter thru the 5th, you can pitch match ups to get to Wallner....or you make him the Tuesday pitcher.....I personally would develop him as a closer, but that's just me....
the bottom line is we need him on the mound and Franklin's speed on the bases....I know he made an error the other day, but his speed in CF is what you want....
His on-base would be the worst in the starting lineup.
40 and 35 percent is a huge difference in baseball.
You’re talking like your 1 hitter leads off every inning. What about the other four ABs every game in which he potentially hits in spots where we need someone who can do something other than walk, bunt, or strike out.
#5 Re: Southern Miss » USM vs. Ole Miss baseball » 2018-04-11 09:45:54
yeah, this team might make the tournament but it isn't getting beyond the first round. I said this earlier in the season. We've got some good players just not enough of them.
Without dramatic improvement on the mound, I don’t think we will get a bid—maybe not even on the bubble.
We are currently 55th and 2-6 against the Top 50. If those numbers are similar in May, that ain’t getting us close to a Regional bid.
#6 Re: Southern Miss » USM vs. Ole Miss baseball » 2018-04-11 09:33:52
Nugget's Ghostbuster wrote:stinkfist wrote:we simply don't have the pitching depth others have.....
for christ's sakes, keys is tossing 87 mph fastballs.....that's fk'n batting practice.....
not having colt or making wallner the pure closer or tues starter is fk'n killing us....
starting keys should never happen again this year.....once that boy gets in trouble, it gets in his head and he's skull fucked.....
trust me.....I know the yips and why they happen.....
Tired of hearing about injuries as the reason we are not able to challenge the best teams on our schedule. How about just calling it for what it is and not what it could be. Minus Sandlin and two other arms our active pitchers should be playing for UNO or Charlotte or North Texas(if they had a program). You can’t ride Nick like Courtney Blades to a World Series. This team defines a typical Scott Berry team. Last season was good, not great, and was the exception in his years as head ball coach. If you really look at what 50 wins accomplished last year, it got you a win against UIC and South Alabama. The regional did nothing for us beyond that. Unfortunately that anomaly bought him a minimum of 3 more years.
you have to believe he's not DH'g Wallner in an attempt protect his draft status as an outfielder.....
however, I would suggest he take a look at what Ohtani is doing over at the Angels....he could easily do something similar here....
I would say it's a given he gets drafted by an AL team for his stroke and not his fielding ability or pitching....
any way you cut it, we need another horse in the stable on the mound......there's no way we win the cusa tourney with this pitching situation....it's plausible we don't make a regional at this pace.....losing midweek games and 2/3 conference isn't going to cut it.....
you just gotta start tossing Wallner as your closer or as a starter.....all I currently see is his talent being wasted by not being on the mound....
put Franklin in CF and let his speedy arse lead off....his OBP (which is comparable to many in the current order and can only improve if you bunt him or get him looking at pitches to get to first).....his slugging percentage is shit so anywhere else in the order is just silly....you either put him in the 1 or don't play him....
get that guy to first and he would steal 8 of every 10....plus it also brings the hit and run for Monte into play more often than the Monte/Guidry scenario at 1/2......put Guidry at the 6 and do whatever with the 7/8.....
there are so many things you can do with the batting order......but until we get a solid closer, it won't mean dick in the close games
I've been lobbying for Wallner to become the closer for some time now.....if it hasn't happened by now, best guess is it's not going to......that pretty much means we're fucked long term....
I don't like a guy coming from the field to the mound.....never have, never will.....it's just too much to ask from someone to handle in the flow of the game....
/rant
I still don’t know what you’re getting at with Franklin. I’m not sure why his problems are not an issue at lead off or how he’s more beneficial there. Because he’s fast like a traditional leadoff? You’re ensuring that your worst hitter and OBP guy has the most at-bats and there’s less of a chance that Reynolds and Wallner come up with runners on.
I agree on Wallner. And honestly, I probably would have made him a pitcher—or at least given him more work developing there. As is, I don’t think he’s a reliable closer. He throws. He doesn’t pitch. If teams have seen that kind of velocity and adjust, it doesn’t have much movement. That’s why Rice tagged him. That said, he’s still better than most of our other options but the OF to pitcher shift doesn’t work. The big thing is that Berry has no interest in using him in anything outside of exclusively traditional save situations, which doesn’t happen a ton.
#7 Re: Southern Miss » No Sandlin Friday. Maybe all weekend. » 2018-04-11 09:03:27
No-brainer here.
You are cautious with him for the sake of the team, given that we would not sniff a a Regional without him, and his future.
Missing one start against a mediocre team won’t cost us a regional.
#8 Re: Southern Miss » USM @ FAU baseball: game 1 » 2018-03-23 21:23:22
AndreWhere wrote:stinkfist wrote:the more important issue is why Wallner didn't come out for the 9th tonight...
if he's a our fucking closer, then he's our fucking closer.....
That was pretty much what I was getting at. He was a big part of the offense tonight, why not the defense?
Bigger question: if Wallner can't pitch, do we really have no one else? Do we really need to be walking the bases loaded?
first, I don't pull Sandlin at a 99 pitch count.....he can go 110-120 with that delivery and just finished a 9 pitch inning taking them down in order.....no reason to pull him....
Wright is a problem....gotta find somebody else for that spot in a tight game....
walking their two best hitters really didn't matter at that point with a man on third, no outs in b9.....you have to get to a ground out force at the plate or s/o, then hope for the DP.....
I would also like to see Berry move Wallner to the 3 and Reynolds at the 4.....
the bottom line is they don't suck....we simply couldn't finish it tonight.....that's baseball....
We couldn’t finish it because everything outside of Sandlin sucks so far. Even Wallner hasn’t looked dominant and is mostly a non-factor in his current limited role.
Not having a pitching staff isn’t “baseball.” There’s a reason we will continue to lose these games.
#9 Re: Southern Miss » USM @ FAU baseball: game 1 » 2018-03-23 21:16:25
Nugget's Ghostbuster wrote:State is horrible this season distractions or not. They have lost to Texas AM Corpus Christi, McNeese, Utah Valley......
Sports- especially baseball- are almost as psychological as they are physical. State's baseball team is figuring that out right now.
State was an intimidating team when they came into Hattiesburg. Look at how people predicted that series would turn out. There was one guy who predicted it would be a disaster, and he doesn't even post here anymore. Is that why?
I don't know, but if he did post here, he might have some questions to answer.
Nobody knew what State had coming into the season. They were a high ceiling-low floor type of team. It all depended on a lot of raw, unproven talent on the mound panning out. So far, it hasn’t.
I think everyone expected their lineup to struggle. That was not a good lineup last year outside of Rooker, Brown, and Mangum.
#10 Re: Southern Miss » Larry Eustachy could be succeeded at CSU by NBA assistant Becky Hammon » 2018-03-09 05:58:56
As a Spurs fan, I hear nothing but great things and Pop thinks a whole hell of a lot of her. I think she would be an NBA coach if she stayed.
That doesn’t mean she would translate well to college, though. She is an assistant in one of the most structured, orderly, and efficient franchises ever seen. That’s a big, big difference from Colorado State.
#11 Re: Southern Miss » Eastern Michigan » 2018-03-02 22:53:24
Sounds like Powers actually ended up putting together a semi-decent start tonight.
EMU is a really, really, really bad team. I was not encouraged, at all, by his start. He is at least capable of throwing in the strike zone now. That’s about all I would say there. He will get absolutely wrecked by hitting in our conference if he doesn’t throw better.
Lineup has got to cut down on the strikeouts. Last year’s team K’d a ton early on but got better.
This schedule is so bad, I don’t think you will be able to make a judgement on this team until weeks into the conference season.
#12 Re: Southern Miss » Question for our liberal friends » 2018-03-01 08:07:21
I realize this is not the place for reasonable discussion but I’m annoyed by this:
I think semiautomatic rifles should be banned. But semiautomatic handguns are more of a problem—yet rarely discussed. It has never made sense to me.
#13 Re: Southern Miss » Question for our liberal friends » 2018-02-28 22:38:44
If the Congress passed legislation banning gun ownership in the U.S. , how many of you would then support disallowing armed security details for all current and former elected politicians ? This would include no armed security for Obama and Clinton or any member of their families of course .
I personally don’t know a liberal (including myself) that wants an all-out ban of guns but hey, keep fighting those windmills, Don Quixote.
#14 Re: Southern Miss » MSU @ USM 2018 baseball: Game 3 » 2018-02-19 16:01:35
Not sure what he was listening to, but I heard Cox reference a series where we swept Missouri about a half dozen times.
Mizzou was still Big 12.
Considering C-USA teams rarely play SEC teams in weekend series, that's probably right.
I can only recall us playing two three-game series against SEC teams: Losses to Mizzou in 2014 and LSU in maybe 2006.
#15 Re: Southern Miss » MSU @ USM 2018: Game 1 » 2018-02-16 18:55:41
We are now several minutes into some snafu related to batting order.
We sent up the wrong batter! Come on.
#16 Re: Southern Miss » MSU @ USM 2018: Game 1 » 2018-02-16 16:39:42
Well, they're hitting him now. Three straight hits. Bases loaded, 2 out with Stovall (#3 hitter) up.
Sandlin gets out of it with a grounder.
42 pitches through 3 innings.
#17 Re: Southern Miss » MSU @ USM 2018: Game 1 » 2018-02-16 16:21:45
One of my concerns with Sandlin starting is efficiency.
18 pitches through 2 innings is pretty efficient.
#18 Re: Southern Miss » Anybody eaten @ Dickies BBQ? » 2018-02-08 21:24:24
southern miss slacker wrote:Had a Whataburger not long ago for the first time. It's exactly like a Sonic burger. I mean exactly. Speaking of Sonic they have 50 cent corndogs today.
I respectfully disagree... Whataburger is life!
I’m sorry. Whataburger has something other than honey butter chicken biscuits???
#19 Re: Southern Miss » Eustachy investigated for being too mean » 2018-02-08 21:18:03
tg300 wrote:admin wrote:I'd say USM should take him back, but most people don't want to play for a guy who's been publicly outed as a jerk.
There are a lot of great coaches who are jerks. People still want to play for them.
Should we have him back? Hell yes. Throw everything you have at him. Not much I know but something.
He should have never been pushed out. Bunch of dumb asses running the show then and now.
People did sign up to play for Woody Hayes, Bobby Knight, Earle Bruce, etc.
Attitudes change, though. A lot of people nowadays are made men in the Self-Esteem Mafia. Responding well to criticism is a dying art.
The specific details have more of a tendency to find their way to the general public nowadays, too.
All that said, I would not object to bringing him back.
Those guys only got away with that because they won.
If you’re going to act how Larry was, you damn sure better have more success than one tourney in six years.
#20 Re: Southern Miss » Official SB LII Thread. » 2018-02-05 13:43:02
it's a touchdown dumbasses. the instant the ball broke the plane is a TD. it doesn't matter after that what the fuck happens. but here comes some stupid ass. "he didn't survive the ground" shit.
Well, the goal line has nothing to do with if it is a catch.
But Ertz's catch was nothing like the Jesse James catch, which everyone tried to compare it to. James was falling as he caught the ball and did not maintain control hitting the ground.
Ertz caught the ball upright, took three steps, and dove.